BOE's Broadbent: Brexit transition period is most crucial for central bank outlook

Further comments by BOE board member Ben Broadbent

  • Thinks reaching a Brexit deal is still the most likely outcome
  • Says a fair amount of (business) uncertainty would disappear with a Brexit deal
  • Surveys of business investment are as important as the official data - which lags
  • Either having a Brexit deal or not is not definitive in terms of setting interest rates
  • Sterling presumably would be stronger in the event of a good Brexit deal
  • If UK leaves without a deal, likely currency would fall

Although Broadbent is saying that a Brexit deal outcome could mean rates going up or down, it's more of the case a Brexit deal would allow them to keep with the current pace of "gradual and limited" rate hikes. Nothing too new in his other comments here really.

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