BOC's Wilkins: Will assess whether all the stimulus in place is still needed

USD/CAD quickly lower

This is a clear shift to a hawkish stance from the Bank of Canada.

  • Will assess if all the stimulus in place is still needed as economic growth continues and, ideally, broadens further
  • If only a few sectors expand enough to absorb excess capacity, BOC would need to take appropriate action
  • Adjustment to lower oil prices is largely behind us, cap ex in oil and gas sector have bounced back
  • BOC encouraged by signs that sources of growth are broadening
  • Q1 growth figures "pretty impressive"
  • Data show that more than 70% of industries are expanding
  • Exports were the one disappointment in Q1 figures, working hard to understand the forces behind the data
  • Growth in housing prices expected to slow
  • Slack in economy still translating into below-target inflation, headline number dragged down by transitory effects of food competition
  • Lack of clarity about US policies will remain important uncertainty in BOC projections
  • Press release from the BOC
  • Full text of the speech

USD/CAD touched 1.3396 on the headlines.

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