BOC's Wilkins: Data has been stronger than expected

Wilkins kicks off the press conference

  • Many data points have been stronger than expected
  • Some of the upward rise is unsustainable
  • Households have benefitted from child benefit credit
  • Toronto housing gains unlikely to be sustainable
  • We see higher profile of household investment
  • Toronto-area rises in prices suggest speculation at work
  • Welcome strength in Canadian data but want to see more of it in order to be confident
  • Sees stronger household spending as upside risk in short term but negative risk in longer horizon
  • We now have a better sense of range possibilities from US than in January
  • Possible outcomes of US policy changes almost all entirely negative for Canada
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