BOC's Poloz welcomes Fed rate hike

BOC's Stephen Poloz speaking in Ottawa

  • Canada will run independent monetary policy in response to economic circumstances
  • Flexible exchange rate is the most important way of adjusting to effects of commodity price shocks
  • Depreciation of the CAD is a natural part of the process
  • CAD decline helps to shift the economy's growth engine away from commodities to non-commodities
  • Movements in FX are helping economies to make adjustments that must take place
  • If BOC raised rates to prevent CAD depreciation it would slow the entire economy and make the adjustment shock slower and more painful
  • It's no coincidence to see CAD at about the level it was in 2003/2004 as oil is about where it was then too
  • Inflation expectations are very well anchored in Canada
  • BOC has the tools to mitigate any risk to inflation target or financial system
  • Core inflation is understating the underlying inflation trend, given impact of lower CAD on imports

The BOC head seems very relaxed about his currency right now. That's probably enough of a green light to see the weakness continue

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