BOC's Poloz: Oil price drop will knock about 0.4 pp from GDP

Poloz in Davos

Poloz in Davos
  • Markets are understandably concerned about the US-led trade war
  • If that's resolved it will be an extra lift
  • It would be a disaster if it escalated
  • The trade situation is crucial
  • We're watching how the economy responds to oil, which is bouncing back
  • Monitoring developments in the housing market
  • Canadian economy is in good shape
  • The pace of future rate hikes in Canada will be data dependent
  • I'm watching Brexit with considerable interest but it's a small effect on our macro economy

There's nothing here that's going to outweigh the soft Canadian retail sales data release a short time before.

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