BOC issues new forecasts, sees 2019 GDP 1.7% vs 2.1% prior

New forecasts in the Bank of Canada MPR

The prior forecasts were in the October 24 MPR

  • 2018 GDP 2.0% vs 2.1% prior

  • 2019 GDP vs 2.1% prior

  • 2020 GDP 2.1% vs 1.9% prior

  • Overall inflation expected to be below 2% for much of 2019 due to lower gas prices

  • Inflation will return to around 2% by late 2019 as transitory effects unwind

  • Full MPR

Shorter-term Canadian forecasts:

Global growth forecasts (largely unchanged):

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