Bank of Russia raises rates by 100bps to 10.5% as expected

  • Annual inflation at 9.4% as of Dec 8, CPI driven by ruble and sanctions
  • Will continue to increase rates if CPI accelerates
  • GDP seen at 0.6% this year, near zero for 2015/16, may recover slightly in 2017
  • Consumer activity seen weak in 2015/16

The squeeze on Russia continues and the central bank is in full fire fighting mode

CBR interest rate 11 12 2014

CBR interest rate 11 12 2014

USD/RUB daily chart 11 12 2014

USD/RUB daily chart 11 12 2014

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