Bank of Canada cuts rates by 50 basis points vs a 25 cut expected

Bank of Canada interest rate decision highlights:

  • The overnight rate was lowered to 1.25%
  • Prior was 1.75%
  • Stands ready to adjust monetary policy further if required
  • Outlook is clearly weaker now than it was in January
  • Coronavirus is a material negative shock to Canadian and global outlook
  • Business activity in some regions has fallen sharply and supply chains have been disrupted
  • It is likely that as the virus spreads, business and consumer confidence will deteriorate, further depressing activity.
  • It is becoming clear that the first quarter of 2020 will be weaker than the Bank had expected
  • Rail line blockades, strikes by Ontario teachers, and winter storms in some regions are dampening economic activity in the first quarter
  • Full text

The Canadian dollar fell on the headlines with USD/CAD rising to 1.3400 from 1.3335. I warned repeatedly ahead of the decision that the BOC doesn't like to have higher rates than the Federal Reserve.

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