Are you ready for Super Thursday from the UK? BoE preview

It is Super Week! The BOJ, BoE and Federal Reserve all meeting. For the Bank of England, what to expect:

1100GMT

  • August Monetary Policy Committee decision & vote split announcement
  • Publish the MPC meeting minutes

Later … press conference with Governor Carney at 1130 GMT

This a summary of what RBC expect from the Bank of England on Thursday

  • MPC to raise Bank rate by 25bps
  • Unanimous 9-0 vote in favour
  • Do not see the updated Inflation Report (IR) projections resulting in wholesale changes for GDP and CPI
  • It is possible, in the context of the outlook for the economy, that the MPC may flag the risks of a potential global trade war, we don't think that the latest iteration of the fan chart will alter the policy message from the May IR.
  • Also of note for the August IR is that it will see the MPC publish its estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate or r* for the first time.

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Earlier:

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