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Eamonn Sheridan

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Central Banks
scissors cut snip 27 August 2025 2
Central Banks

Fed rate cuts pushed to late 2026 as Middle East war fuels inflation surge

  • The delay in expected rate cuts represents a meaningful shift in the macro backdrop for risk assets. With nearly a third of economists now pencilling in no cuts at all this year, almost double the share from the previous survey, markets face a higher-for-longer rate environment underpinned by war-related energy shocks rather than structural overheating. The Fed leadership transition adds a further layer of uncertainty, though analysts broadly agree that a single new appointee is unlikely to shift policy direction materially in the near term.
Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 01:51 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 01:51 GMT
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Central Banks
USD/onshore yuan daily candles
Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.8650 (vs. estimate at 6.8294)

  • PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 01:16 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 01:16 GMT
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News
fake news tehran attack 23 April 2026
News

Fake news (social media) on an attack on Tehran sent oil up, stocks down. Unwound now.

  • Tehran was testing air defences
Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 00:59 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 00:59 GMT
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News
usdyen update 23 April 2026
News

Japan PMI shows manufacturing surge as services slowdown caps growth

  • The divergence between strong manufacturing and softer services complicates the outlook for Japan. While the industrial rebound supports growth and exports, weakening domestic momentum and rising inflation pressures reinforce a cautious policy stance. The surge in costs and falling confidence also raise risks of a less sustainable growth trajectory.
Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 00:45 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 00:45 GMT
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Central Banks
USD/onshore yuan daily candles
Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8294 – Reuters estimate

  • PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 00:39 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/04/2026 | 00:39 GMT
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