Eamonn Sheridan

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Central Banks
aud rba update 17 March 2026
Central Banks

Australian confidence hits pandemic low as inflation expectations surge before RBA hike

  • The combination of record-low consumer confidence and elevated inflation expectations underscores the policy dilemma facing the RBA, reinforcing expectations for further tightening despite weakening household sentiment.
Central Banks
Powell looking up meme
Central Banks

Fed faces new inflation shock as Middle East war cuts rate-cut odds this year to 47%

  • Rising energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict are tightening the Fed’s policy dilemma, potentially delaying rate cuts as officials balance persistent inflation risks against slowing growth
Central Banks
usdjpy yen hourly candles 17 March 2026
Central Banks

Japan officials signal vigilance on yields, fiscal policy and FX as yen weakness persists

  • The coordinated remarks from Japan’s fiscal and monetary authorities may be interpreted as subtle verbal support for the yen, signalling policymakers are attentive to currency weakness while emphasising policy credibility and bond market stability.
Central Banks
usdcny updated 17 March 2026
Central Banks

PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 6.8961 (vs. estimate at 6.8874)

  • PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
Central Banks
New York Federal Reserve
Central Banks

Morgan Stanley sees Fed cuts starting June, warns oil at $125–$150 raises recession risk

  • The outlook reinforces expectations for Fed easing later this year, but highlights how a sustained oil shock could slow growth and complicate the policy path, keeping markets sensitive to energy prices.
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