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Eamonn Sheridan

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Commodities
oil update 18 March 2026
Commodities

Iraq, KRG agree to resume Ceyhan oil exports as Hormuz disruption tightens supply

  • Near-term bearish for oil at the margin as alternative supply emerges, but impact limited relative to Hormuz disruption; broader market remains structurally tight and highly sensitive to geopolitical risk.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 22:45 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 22:45 GMT
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Central Banks
Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate cycle 18 March 2026
Central Banks

RBA hikes to 4.10%. Split decision. Inflation risks & demand pressures. Where to now?

  • Hawkish at the margin given back-to-back hikes, but narrow split and external risks cap AUD upside; May hike remains live but highly conditional on data and geopolitics.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 22:05 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 22:05 GMT
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Central Banks
aud rba rate hike 18 March 2026
Central Banks

Recap: RBA lifts rate to 4.1%. Split decision. Inflation risks & capacity pressures build

  • AUD-sensitive hawkish tilt at the margin, but split decision and geopolitical uncertainty temper conviction; May hike still base case but not fully priced certainty.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 21:31 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 21:31 GMT
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Commodities
Oil inventory data
Commodities

Private survey inventory shows a huge headline crude oil build much larger than expected

  • This is from the privately surveyed oil stock data ahead of official government data tomorrow morning out of the US.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 20:44 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 20:44 GMT
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Commodities
Venezuela
Commodities

US weighs easing Venezuela oil sanctions to boost supply amid global disruptions

  • Modestly bearish for crude near term via sentiment and incremental supply, but structural tightness remains, limiting downside unless production ramps meaningfully.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 20:43 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 20:43 GMT
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