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Eamonn Sheridan

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Commodities
brent iran trump attack 19 February 2026
Commodities

CBS: US military ready for possible Iran strike as soon as Saturday, Trump undecided

  • A credible near-term strike risk typically raises crude and volatility premia and can support safe-haven demand (USD, USTs) while pressuring risk FX. Any confirmation/denial from the White House, Pentagon, Tehran, or Israel is likely to drive sharp intraday swings.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 02:25 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 02:25 GMT
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News
usdyen chart update
News

Japan machinery orders surge 19.1% in December, smashing forecasts

  • The upside surprise supports a firmer growth narrative and could underpin Japanese equities. Higher yields may persist if stronger activity reinforces expectations of policy normalisation and fiscal expansion.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 02:10 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 02:10 GMT
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Central Banks
nzd silk rbnz 19 February 2026
Central Banks

RBNZ’s Silk: easing cycle over, but weak demand and sticky inflation pose two-way risks

  • The tone is modestly supportive for NZD rates staying “on hold” near term, but it keeps optionality for a late-2026 hike alive. NZD may remain sensitive to inflation surprises and consumption indicators: weak demand caps NZD, sticky inflation revives hike pricing.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 02:02 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 02:02 GMT
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Central Banks
Federal Reserve FOMC building
Central Banks

What the Fed didn’t say: January minutes omit the date inflation returns to 2%

  • The missing “2% by 2028” line marginally reinforces a higher-for-longer bias: it keeps the “last mile” narrative alive and may make markets more sensitive to any re-acceleration in prices, tariffs pass-through, or inflation expectations.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 01:29 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 01:29 GMT
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Central Banks
aud rba rate hike jobs tight 19 February 2026
Central Banks

Australia unemployment total falls for fourth straight month. RBA March rate hike prospect

  • Australia’s January labour force report reinforced the view that the labour market remains tight. The data do not guarantee a March hike, but they strengthen the case that the economy can absorb further tightening if inflation pressures persist.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 01:06 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 01:06 GMT
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