USD

EURUSD pulls back into a key trendline: has the US dollar already run out of energy?

• EURUSD fell to a new low last week following strong US data but most of the gains were eventually erased. What's next for the pair?

Market Outlook for the week of 29th September - 3rd October

• Highlights of the week include RBA monetary policy announcement and U.S. labor market data

USDJPY pulls back to retest the broken range: what's next for the pair?

• USDJPY broke out to the upside last week on stronger US data but eventually erased the gains

The USD has lost ground in Asia trade to open the new FX week

• The potential for a US government shutdown is cited, in the absence of any other narrative today

Trump administration weighs chip-linked tariffs on electronics to boost U.S. manufacturing

• The Trump administration is considering tariffs on imported electronics tied to the value of their chip content, a move aimed at reshoring manufacturing but one that could raise prices on a wide range of consumer goods. Economists warn the plan may fuel inflation already above the Fed’s target.

UBS says there’s a 93% chance of a recession in the US this year

• That'd mean a 93% chance the US in recession right now. I doubt it.

Monday open levels, indicative FX prices, 29 September 2025

• Good morning, afternoon or evening to all ForexLive traders and welcome to the start of the new FX week. Indicative rates show a little change from late Friday.

Why non-farm payrolls are now a trading minefield

• A fresh reason not to trade non-farm payrolls

White House: Latest pharmaceutical tariffs to apply to countries with trade deals

EURUSD Technicals: The correction higher has taken the EURUSD to the MA target. What next?

• The EURUSD moves to the 200-bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 1.17042.

Atlanta Fed Q3 GDPNow +3.9% vs +3.3% prior

• Nice upward revisions

USDCHF technicals: USDCHF corrects lower after yesterday's rise, but will buyers come in?

• The sellers have pushed lower and won some short-term battles. Can they keep the corrective momentum going, or will the buyers re-enter on the dip?

US UMich final September consumer sentiment 55.1 vs 55.4 expected

• US consumer sentiment data for September

USDCAD technicals: USDCAD dips after better GDP/as expected US PCE data.

• What's next technically for the USDCAD? I will outline the bias in the video.

There isn't just one economy. The US is on two very different paths

• There are two tracks