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rba Reserve Bank of Australia Australia Australian dollar aud 2
Central Banks

Poll: RBA expected hold at 3.60% this month as outlook shifts to long pause through 2026

  • A unanimous hold signal reinforces stability in short-end pricing, but the shift toward a long pause — and rising chatter about possible hikes — may lend support to AUD and keep front-end yields firm. Markets will watch the December statement closely for any tightening bias as inflation pressures remain elevated.
Eamonn Sheridan
05/12/2025 | 00:05 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
05/12/2025 | 00:05 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA
Central Banks

Australia’s MI inflation stays firm in November as annual rate edges up to 3.2%

  • The slight uptick in annual inflation is likely to reinforce expectations that the RBA will maintain a cautious stance, limiting near-term easing prospects.
Eamonn Sheridan
01/12/2025 | 00:07 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
01/12/2025 | 00:07 GMT
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News
ASX 200
News

Westpac sees Australia’s Q3 GDP accelerating, led by strongest domestic demand since 2012

  • A stronger domestic-demand profile and improving productivity could modestly lift AUD sentiment and trim near-term RBA easing expectations even further, though Westpac notes headline growth will cool later as one-off capex fades.
Eamonn Sheridan
28/11/2025 | 03:50 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/11/2025 | 03:50 GMT
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Central Banks
Reserve Bank of Australia building rba aud 22 July 2025 2
Central Banks

Westpac: APRA’s new high-DTI cap pre-emptive, slightly dovish for RBA outlook

  • Westpac’s read-through suggests marginal downside risk to front-end yields and mild support for housing-linked equities, as tighter lending rules reduce the need for the RBA to counter housing heat with policy.
Eamonn Sheridan
28/11/2025 | 03:12 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/11/2025 | 03:12 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA BUILDING
Central Banks

Australian Private Sector Credit October +0.7% m/m (expected +0.6%, prior +0.6%)

  • A big jump for business credit, leading the way.
Eamonn Sheridan
28/11/2025 | 00:35 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/11/2025 | 00:35 GMT
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Central Banks
rba no November 2025 rate cut Australia dollar
Central Banks

NAB’s Auld: RBA may need to hike rates by early 2026 as economy nears capacity

  • Auld’s call leans hawkish relative to market expectations, suggesting upside risks for front-end AU yields and a potential floor under the AUD if growth surprises on the upside.
Eamonn Sheridan
27/11/2025 | 03:19 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
27/11/2025 | 03:19 GMT
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Central Banks
ASX 200
Central Banks

Australia inflation jumps again, wiping out rate-cut hopes and lifting AUD, yields - recap

  • The stronger-than-expected CPI pushed yields sharply higher and lifted the AUD as investors abandoned expectations of near-term easing. Markets now see a meaningful risk the RBA may need to tighten in 2026 if services and housing inflation fail to ease.
Eamonn Sheridan
26/11/2025 | 04:30 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
26/11/2025 | 04:30 GMT
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Central Banks
aud rba inflation rising 26 November 2025 2
Central Banks

Australian dollar jumped after the much stronger than expected inflation data

  • Forget about Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cuts, lets talk about hikes instead
Eamonn Sheridan
26/11/2025 | 00:45 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
26/11/2025 | 00:45 GMT
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Forex
AUDNZD daily candles 24 November 2025 2
Forex

RBNZ rate cut expected this week, last one in the cycle? End of AUD/NZD bull run in sight

  • NAB, ANZ on AUD/NZD
Eamonn Sheridan
23/11/2025 | 22:07 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/11/2025 | 22:07 GMT
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Central Banks
Newsquawk Week Ahead
Central Banks

Newsquawk Week Ahead: US Retail Sales, RBNZ, UK Budget, Australian CPI, Tokyo CPI

  • Next week highlights include US Retail Sales, RBNZ, UK Budget, Australian CPI, Tokyo CPI, PBoC MLF, ECB Minutes, BoK, Chinese Industrial Profits and Canadian GDP.
Newsquawk Analysis
23/11/2025 | 11:05 GMT
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Newsquawk Analysis
23/11/2025 | 11:05 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA
Central Banks

RBA warns against overreacting to volatile inflation as Hunter flags structural shifts

  • RBA’s Sarah Hunter says monthly inflation is too volatile for overreaction. Recent inflation surprises have complicated the case for further easing.
Eamonn Sheridan
20/11/2025 | 02:06 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
20/11/2025 | 02:06 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA Bullock 04-11
Central Banks

RBA says rates could stay on hold longer but easing still possible if growth weakens

  • Minutes tilt slightly hawkish at the margin, with firmer demand and stronger jobs reducing near-term easing odds, though conditional easing risks remain tied to growth and labour-market softness.
Eamonn Sheridan
18/11/2025 | 00:32 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
18/11/2025 | 00:32 GMT
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Central Banks
Federal Reserve logan fed
Central Banks

Economic calendar in Asia 18 November 2025 - RBA minutes, Fed's Logan speaking

  • Logan will be straight, not spouting rubbish like brown-nose Waller
Eamonn Sheridan
17/11/2025 | 21:31 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/11/2025 | 21:31 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA FP Markets
Central Banks

RBA’s Fry-McKibbin rejects claims review urged equal weighting of inflation and jobs

  • RBA board member Renée Fry-McKibbin says critics have misrepresented the RBA review’s stance on the dual mandate, stressing it recommended “equal consideration” of inflation and employment, not equal weighting. Her remarks come as the bank faces rising inflation risks and softening labour data.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/11/2025 | 02:56 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/11/2025 | 02:56 GMT
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Central Banks
AUDUSD
Central Banks

MUFG: Policy divergence supports AUD/NZD as RBA holds firm and RBNZ eyes more cuts

  • Firm Australian rate expectations versus rising odds of further RBNZ easing continue to favour AUD/NZD upside, especially if New Zealand data remains soft.
Eamonn Sheridan
13/11/2025 | 22:16 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
13/11/2025 | 22:16 GMT
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