RBA | investingLive Tag

The upside core surprise strengthens the case for further tightening and supports AUD near term. Rate expectations may continue to firm unless upcoming data show clear moderation in underlying inflation.

Eamonn Sheridan

25/02/2026 | 01:05 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

25/02/2026 | 01:05 GMT

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News

News

Australia January CPI preview: core inflation steady, electricity lifts headline

A 0.3% trimmed mean print would reinforce the view that underlying inflation remains sticky, supporting expectations for further RBA tightening and potentially underpinning AUD and front-end yields.

Eamonn Sheridan

23/02/2026 | 22:58 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

23/02/2026 | 22:58 GMT

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Central Banks

rba Reserve Bank of Australia Australia Australian dollar aud 2

Central Banks

RBA Economist Plumb Focuses on CPI for Forecasting

RBA economist Plumb continues to analyze CPI data for forecasting while focusing on underlying inflation measures. The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate citing a pickup in inflation and strong demand, with future moves guided by evolving risks and data.

Greg Michalowski

23/02/2026 | 20:53 GMT

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Greg Michalowski

23/02/2026 | 20:53 GMT

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Central Banks

Central Banks

Westpac warns Australia's unemployment rate masks soft demand and falling participation

The analysis tempers any hawkish read of the jobs data. While a 4.1% unemployment rate may keep the RBA cautious on inflation, participation dynamics suggest underlying labour demand is softer than the headline implies.

Eamonn Sheridan

20/02/2026 | 03:56 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

20/02/2026 | 03:56 GMT

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Central Banks

Central Banks

NZD, AUD fall as RBNZ says inflation returning to target, no preset path

The remarks lean mildly NZD-negative by tempering expectations of imminent tightening. AUD weakness appears largely spillover-driven, with Australia’s rate outlook still skewed toward further hikes rather than cuts.

Eamonn Sheridan

20/02/2026 | 02:07 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

20/02/2026 | 02:07 GMT

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Central Banks

aud rba rate hike jobs tight 19 February 2026

Central Banks

Australia unemployment total falls for fourth straight month. RBA March rate hike prospect

Australia’s January labour force report reinforced the view that the labour market remains tight. The data do not guarantee a March hike, but they strengthen the case that the economy can absorb further tightening if inflation pressures persist.

Eamonn Sheridan

19/02/2026 | 01:06 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

19/02/2026 | 01:06 GMT

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Central Banks

Central Banks

Australia’s January labour force data due today - preview

Analysts expect January to show a cooling from December’s strength, with unemployment edging up but no clear sign yet of renewed labour market tightening.

Eamonn Sheridan

18/02/2026 | 21:09 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

18/02/2026 | 21:09 GMT

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Central Banks

Australia leading index 18 February 2026

Central Banks

Westpac Leading Index slows to near-flat, signals cooling growth momentum

Near-flat Leading Index supports expectations of cautious RBA tightening in March, with markets focused on April CPI. Growth momentum looks steady but fragile.

Eamonn Sheridan

18/02/2026 | 00:25 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

18/02/2026 | 00:25 GMT

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Central Banks

Central Banks

Goldman lifts AUD/USD forecasts to 0.74 as RBA hawkish stance supports outlook

Goldman’s revised path reinforces upside bias in AUD/USD, particularly into the May CPI/RBA window. Commodity volatility and US growth scares remain the key downside catalysts.

Eamonn Sheridan

17/02/2026 | 22:56 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

17/02/2026 | 22:56 GMT

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Central Banks

Central Banks

RBA minutes show inflation risks ‘shifted materially’ behind February rate hike

Minutes reinforce a tightening bias without committing to May action; front-end yields and AUD may stay sensitive to upcoming CPI data, with markets still pricing a risk of another hike.

Eamonn Sheridan

17/02/2026 | 00:33 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

17/02/2026 | 00:33 GMT

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Central Banks

aud chart update ahead of rba minutes February 2026

Central Banks

RBA February minutes to detail case for rate hike, set to reinforce tightening bias

Any firm language around demand resilience or limited supply capacity could nudge rate expectations higher at the margin, offering modest support to the AUD and front-end yields.

Eamonn Sheridan

16/02/2026 | 21:29 GMT

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Eamonn Sheridan

16/02/2026 | 21:29 GMT

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Central Banks

Newsquawk Week Ahead: US PCE and GDP, FOMC Minutes, RBNZ, Flash PMIs, UK and Canada CPI

Next week highlights include US PCE and GDP, FOMC Minutes, RBA Minutes, RBNZ rate decision, Flash PMIs, UK, Canadian and Japanese Inflation data.

Newsquawk Analysis

14/02/2026 | 15:29 GMT

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Newsquawk Analysis

14/02/2026 | 15:29 GMT

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