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Tsunami warnings have been issued across much of Japan's eastern coastline
- Evacuation advice issues in lower lying areas
USDJPY Technical Analysis – BoJ and FOMC in focus
- The USDJPY pair is approaching once again a key resistance as the focus turns to the BoJ and FOMC decisions
Japan USD550bn investment initiative in the US will only have 1 - 2% of equity investement
- US retention of 90% of profits, as mentioned by the White House, refers only to that tiny equity portion
Japan Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi says trade deals trim uncertainty on US trade policy
- Japan Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi: US-EU, US-Japan trade deals lower uncertainty on U.S. trade policy
Newsquawk Week Ahead: Trade talks and deadlines, Fed, BoJ, BoC, US NFP, Mfg PMI, PCE, QRA
- Next week is incredibly busy with focus on the August 1st trade deal deadline, as well as US-China trade talks on Monday and Tuesday. We will also see rate decisions from the Fed, BoJ and BoC. Data wise, highlights include US NFP, ISM Mfg. PMI and PCE. Eurozone CPI and GDP will also be in focus, as will the Australian CPI and Retail Sales reports. Bond traders will be watching the US Quarterly Refunding announcement too.
Japanese yen falls as political uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment
- USD/JPY climbs up by 0.5% to test its 200-hour moving average now
USDJPY Technical Analysis – US data and Japanese politics in focus
- The USDJPY pair continues to trade near a key resistance as the focus switches to Japanese politics and the next key US data
Japan May revised leading indicator index 104.8 vs 104.2 prior
- The latest data released by the Japan Cabinet Office - 25 July 2025
USD/JPY has continued its rally, above 147.40 now
- No fresh news
Recap - Tokyo inflation > BoJ target - reinforcing hike expectations late 2025/early 2026
- All three measures above 2%, by a wide margin
Japan's June Services PPI +3.2% y/y, matching expectations of +3.2%
- AKA Corporate Services Price Index
Tokyo headline July CPI 2.9% (vs. 3% expected)
- Tokyo area inflation data, all three remain well above the Bank of Japan 2% target
Barclays see support for the yen from the US-Japan trade deal
- Point to Uhcida's comments
Reports that Bessent threatens Japan with 25% tariff if Trump is unhappy
- Japan tariffs could go back to 25% if Trump unhappy: Bessent
Japan Preliminary Manufacturing PMI (July) 48.8 (Expected 50.2, Previous: 50.1)
- Japan Jibun Preliminary Manufacturing PMI
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