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UK August CPI +3.8% vs +3.8% y/y expected
- Latest data released by ONS - 17 September 2025
UK July ILO unemployment rate 4.7% vs 4.7% expected
- Latest data released by ONS - 16 September 2025
UK labour market data on the agenda today
- It isn't going to be one that should impact the BOE decision later this week though
Forex Movers: Swiss Franc Leads YTD, Aussie Dollar Dominates in September
- The Swiss franc has ruled 2025 so far, but September opened with the Aussie dollar stealing the show.
GBPUSD is breaking above a key resistance as the dollar stays under pressure. What's next?
- The GBPUSD pair is probing above a key resistance level at 1.3590. Will the breakout be sustained?
Market Outlook for the week of 15th - 19th September
- Highlights of the week include BoC, FOMC, BoE and BoJ monetary policy announcements, as well as labor market data from Australia
UK house prices fall y/y, rents jump the least in 4 years
- Data via UK Rightmove and also Zoopla
UK public inflation expectations rise in latest BOE quarterly survey
- The findings from the latest BOE/Ipsos inflation attitudes survey for August 2025
UK July monthly GDP 0.0% vs 0.0% m/m expected
- Latest data released by ONS - 12 September 2025
Morgan Stanley: Pound liquidity thinner than thought, more like franc or kiwi
- Morgan Stanley research finds the pound less able to absorb large trades than the euro or yen, with price swings more akin to smaller currencies like the franc or kiwi.
UK house prices showed the most widespread falls in more than a year-and-a-half
- UK RICS House Price Balance Aug: -19% (expected –10%, prior–13%)
UK like-for like sales rose 3.1% in August, fastest this year apart from Easter
- Like-for like sales is a measure that adjusts for changes in floorspace and is used by equity analysts
GBPUSD edges to multi-week high but may be stalling
- Extends briefly above the high price from Friday at 1.35541. Watching the broken 61.8% retracement at 1.35397 as close support.
GBPUSD erased all the losses following the soft NFP report. What's next?
- The pound selloff triggered by new highs in UK long term yields got completely erased following another soft NFP report. The focus turns to the US CPI report on Thursday.
UK pay settlements hit lowest since 2021 as hiring and wages weaken
- Eases pressure on BoE tightening outlook; softer wages weigh on GBP, though fiscal risks may limit downside.
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