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FOMC rate decision: No change

  • Highlights of the Fed rate decision and statement
Adam Button
18/03/2026 | 18:00 GMT
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Adam Button
18/03/2026 | 18:00 GMT
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Central Banks
dot plot
Central Banks

Deep dive on the 2026 dot. What to watch for

  • The median right now is for one cut this year
Adam Button
18/03/2026 | 17:48 GMT
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Adam Button
18/03/2026 | 17:48 GMT
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Central Banks
Federal Reserve
Central Banks

What's priced in for the Federal Reserve ahead of the FOMC decision

  • Pricing shifted today after the PPI report
Adam Button
18/03/2026 | 17:18 GMT
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Adam Button
18/03/2026 | 17:18 GMT
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Central Banks
Federal Reserve FOMC building
Central Banks

What to expect from the Fed later today?

  • The US central bank is likely to play it safe as the inflation outlook now becomes more complicated
Justin Low
18/03/2026 | 11:15 GMT
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Justin Low
18/03/2026 | 11:15 GMT
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Central Banks
Federal Reserve
Central Banks

Fed preview: the central bank will avoid scaring markets and keep the status quo

  • The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates steady at 3.50-3.75%, revise inflation and unemployment forecasts upwards and downgrade growth estimates. The Dot Plot will likely remain unchanged with one rate cut in 2026.
Giuseppe Dellamotta
18/03/2026 | 09:22 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
18/03/2026 | 09:22 GMT
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Central Banks
Federal Reserve building FOMC
Central Banks

Fed set to hold as Deutsche Bank flags geopolitics clouding outlook

  • Deutsche Bank expects the Fed to stay on hold, with Powell emphasising geopolitical risks and oil-driven inflation pressures without signalling a policy pivot.
Eamonn Sheridan
18/03/2026 | 02:31 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
18/03/2026 | 02:31 GMT
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Central Banks
Powell looking up meme
Central Banks

Fed faces new inflation shock as Middle East war cuts rate-cut odds this year to 47%

  • Rising energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict are tightening the Fed’s policy dilemma, potentially delaying rate cuts as officials balance persistent inflation risks against slowing growth
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 01:52 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 01:52 GMT
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Central Banks
New York Federal Reserve
Central Banks

Morgan Stanley sees Fed cuts starting June, warns oil at $125–$150 raises recession risk

  • The outlook reinforces expectations for Fed easing later this year, but highlights how a sustained oil shock could slow growth and complicate the policy path, keeping markets sensitive to energy prices.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 00:48 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/03/2026 | 00:48 GMT
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Central Banks
RBA BULLOCK 02-02
Central Banks

BIS urges central banks to look through oil spike unless Iran conflict persists

  • The BIS message reinforces the case for central banks to avoid immediate policy tightening despite rising energy prices. However, markets remain sensitive to the risk that a prolonged Middle East conflict could revive inflation and delay rate cuts globally.
Eamonn Sheridan
16/03/2026 | 22:13 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
16/03/2026 | 22:13 GMT
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Central Banks
Powell looking up meme
Central Banks

Federal Judge quashes subpoenas sent to Fed and Chairman Jerome Powell

  • That should clear the way for confirmations hearings for Warsh
Adam Button
13/03/2026 | 19:15 GMT
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Adam Button
13/03/2026 | 19:15 GMT
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Central Banks
Federal Reserve building
Central Banks

Barclays pushes back expectations for Fed rate cuts

  • Now sees only one rate cut this year, with a second pushed to March 2027
Adam Button
13/03/2026 | 15:25 GMT
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Adam Button
13/03/2026 | 15:25 GMT
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Central Banks
Central Banks
Central Banks

The central bank bonanza returns next week

  • And it will come with a bang, especially as inflation fears return amid the US-Iran conflict
Justin Low
11/03/2026 | 05:33 GMT
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Justin Low
11/03/2026 | 05:33 GMT
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Central Banks
Newsquawk Week Ahead
Central Banks

Newsquawk Week In Focus: US and China inflation, UK GDP, China Trade and CBRT

  • This report includes previews of upcoming key events next week, and also a recap of recent events this week.
Newsquawk Analysis
08/03/2026 | 20:05 GMT
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Newsquawk Analysis
08/03/2026 | 20:05 GMT
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Central Banks
Hammack
Central Banks

Fed's Hammack: Dollar dominance remains intact as Fed stays patient

  • Inflation still too high, but policy seen as well positioned
Greg Michalowski
06/03/2026 | 18:32 GMT
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Greg Michalowski
06/03/2026 | 18:32 GMT
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Central Banks
collins
Central Banks

Fed's Collins: Expects the Fed rate target to hold steady for some time

  • It is Fed Collins turn to speak ahead of the Fed Blackout period that starts after the close.
Greg Michalowski
06/03/2026 | 18:25 GMT
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Greg Michalowski
06/03/2026 | 18:25 GMT
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