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Central Banks

UBS: SNB unlikely to fight franc rally, sees EUR/CHF at 0.95 in 12 months

  • A tolerance stance from the SNB reduces intervention risk premia in CHF. If euro-area growth improves, EUR/CHF upside toward 0.95 becomes a macro story rather than a policy defence trade.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 22:33 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 22:33 GMT
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Central Banks
ECB Lagarde
Central Banks

Weekend risk: Lagarde to speak at Munich Security Conference as ECB stays data-dependent

  • Most likely market impact is subtle: any emphasis on trade fragmentation and supply constraints may lean mildly hawkish for inflation risk premia, supporting front-end EUR rates and the euro at the margin. Dovish risk would be a clear growth-warning tilt.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 22:16 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 22:16 GMT
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News
EU CHINA
News

European Commission responds after China sets duties on EU dairy earlier today

  • There's a lot of political nuance going on here
Justin Low
12/02/2026 | 13:03 GMT
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Justin Low
12/02/2026 | 13:03 GMT
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Forex
EURUSD
Forex

The US Dollar fails to rally on the hot NFP: signal of weakness or caution ahead of CPI?

  • The EURUSD pair consolidates between the 1.1840 support and 1.1910 resistance as traders await the US CPI report. What's next?
Giuseppe Dellamotta
12/02/2026 | 11:41 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
12/02/2026 | 11:41 GMT
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News
EU CHINA
News

China now tries to play nice with the EU with latest trade rulings

  • A couple of key headlines from this morning
Justin Low
12/02/2026 | 08:18 GMT
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Justin Low
12/02/2026 | 08:18 GMT
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News
EU CHINA
News

China hits back at France, says might launch investigations into French wine

  • Beijing officially responds to the matter
Justin Low
11/02/2026 | 10:15 GMT
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Justin Low
11/02/2026 | 10:15 GMT
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News
EU CHINA
News

France lands in hot water with China's media after strategy report floats blanket tariffs

  • A potential stumbling block in EU-China relations in the works?
Justin Low
11/02/2026 | 07:35 GMT
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Justin Low
11/02/2026 | 07:35 GMT
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Central Banks
ECB's de Guindos
Central Banks

ECB policymaker de Guindos: Recent euro appreciation deserves attention but not dramatic

  • Remarks by ECB vice president, Luis de Guindos, in an interview with Econostream on 6 February
Justin Low
10/02/2026 | 09:08 GMT
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Justin Low
10/02/2026 | 09:08 GMT
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Central Banks
EURUSD hourly candles update 10 February 2026
Central Banks

Villeroy exit unlikely to shift ECB policy as rare consensus holds

  • Analysts see little market impact from Villeroy’s exit, with ECB policy expectations anchored by consensus and a bias toward stability rather than renewed internal debate.
Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 22:11 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 22:11 GMT
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Forex
EURUSD
Forex

It's a pivotal week for the US Dollar as traders turn their focus to the US NFP report

  • The EURUSD pair approached a key resistance zone around the 1.19 handle as the focus turns to the US NFP report on Wednesday. What's next?
Giuseppe Dellamotta
09/02/2026 | 09:43 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
09/02/2026 | 09:43 GMT
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News
EU FLAG
News

Eurozone February Sentix investor confidence 4.2 vs 0.0 expected

  • Latest data released by Sentix - 9 February 2026
Justin Low
09/02/2026 | 09:30 GMT
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Justin Low
09/02/2026 | 09:30 GMT
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News
EU TARIFFS
News

US tariffs impact show up in German and French trade numbers, but is there a bigger worry?

  • How does China factor into play in all of this?
Justin Low
06/02/2026 | 10:29 GMT
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Justin Low
06/02/2026 | 10:29 GMT
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News
France Flag IL
News

French trade deficit narrows further in 2025 as exports rebound

  • The trade balance improves by €10.0 billion in 2025, reaching -€69.2 billion
Justin Low
06/02/2026 | 08:08 GMT
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Justin Low
06/02/2026 | 08:08 GMT
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News
Germany DE
News

Germany December industrial production -1.9% vs -0.3% m/m expected

  • Latest data released by Destatis - 6 February 2026
Justin Low
06/02/2026 | 07:00 GMT
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Justin Low
06/02/2026 | 07:00 GMT
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News
EU FLAG
News

Eurozone December retail sales -0.5% vs -0.2% m/m expected

  • Latest data released by Eurostat - 5 February 2026
Justin Low
05/02/2026 | 10:02 GMT
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Justin Low
05/02/2026 | 10:02 GMT
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