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China official December 2025 PMIs: Manufacturing 50.1 (exp 49.2) Non-manu 50.2 (exp 49.8)

  • The official manufacturing PMI now avoids its ninth straight month below 50,
Eamonn Sheridan
31/12/2025 | 01:31 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
31/12/2025 | 01:31 GMT
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China
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China eases property taxes but avoids bold housing stimulus (property downturn drags on)

  • The policy may provide marginal support to transaction volumes in major cities, but its limited scope suggests little immediate lift for property developers or broader growth. Markets are likely to see it as a stop-gap measure, reinforcing expectations that further housing support may be gradual rather than forceful.
Eamonn Sheridan
31/12/2025 | 00:38 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
31/12/2025 | 00:38 GMT
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TradingView
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China boosts consumer trade-in subsidies, expands scheme to digital products in 2026

  • The expanded subsidy programme reinforces expectations for continued fiscal support in 2026, offering modest upside for domestic consumption themes, appliances, EVs and consumer electronics. However, the scale is unlikely to fully offset broader structural headwinds, keeping pressure on policymakers to deliver additional demand-side measures.
Eamonn Sheridan
31/12/2025 | 00:05 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
31/12/2025 | 00:05 GMT
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News
Graph shows RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI results
News

Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, December 31, 2025 - China PMIs for December

  • We get a cascade of PMIs from China today, both official and unofficial, none of them look likely to light the place up
Eamonn Sheridan
30/12/2025 | 21:39 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
30/12/2025 | 21:39 GMT
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Central Banks
fx chart shows usdcny update
Central Banks

China defies easing calls as PBOC keeps rates steady and shifts focus to fiscal support

  • Limited monetary easing keeps downward pressure on bonds and underscores Beijing’s preference for fiscal-led support rather than aggressive rate cuts.
Eamonn Sheridan
30/12/2025 | 02:37 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
30/12/2025 | 02:37 GMT
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News
FX chart showing USD/CNH on news of China's blockade exercise Taiwan 30 December 2025
News

China launches “Justice Mission 2025” drills simulating blockade around Taiwan (more info)

  • The drills reinforce a persistent geopolitical risk premium in Asia, with markets alert to potential spillovers into shipping, semiconductors and regional FX if exercises are extended or repeated.
Eamonn Sheridan
29/12/2025 | 00:49 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/12/2025 | 00:49 GMT
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News
Picture shows China's live threat to Taiwan on 30 December 2025
News

China to conduct live-fire military drills surrounding Taiwan on December 30

  • The announcement keeps a modest geopolitical risk premium in place for Asian assets, though markets are unlikely to reprice meaningfully without signs of prolonged escalation.
Eamonn Sheridan
28/12/2025 | 23:56 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/12/2025 | 23:56 GMT
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News
FX Chart shows a usd/cny update
News

China flags more proactive fiscal policy in 2026 to boost domestic demand

  • The guidance reinforces expectations of sustained fiscal support in 2026, lending support to China-linked risk assets while limiting downside risks to growth-sensitive commodities.
Eamonn Sheridan
28/12/2025 | 23:15 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/12/2025 | 23:15 GMT
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News
chart showing AUD/USD opening on 29 December 2025
News

China industrial profits slump at fastest pace in 14 months as demand weakens

  • The data reinforce expectations for additional fiscal and policy support in 2026, keeping pressure on Chinese equities while capping upside for cyclical commodities.
Eamonn Sheridan
28/12/2025 | 21:53 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/12/2025 | 21:53 GMT
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Central Banks
nomura fed forecast uSD weak 24 December 2025 2
Central Banks

Nomura flags Asia policy split as Fed seen cutting twice in 2026

  • Nomura’s outlook suggests Asian rate differentials could widen internally even as the region decouples from expected U.S. easing, with implications for FX and regional bond markets.
Eamonn Sheridan
24/12/2025 | 03:18 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
24/12/2025 | 03:18 GMT
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News
dxy usd index update 24 December 2025 2
News

Washington delays semiconductor tariffs as it seeks China trade truce

  • The delayed rollout of China chip tariffs points to a more calibrated U.S. trade stance, reducing near-term supply-chain risk while seeking to maintain long-term leverage over Beijing’s semiconductor ambitions.
Eamonn Sheridan
24/12/2025 | 02:42 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
24/12/2025 | 02:42 GMT
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Stock market update
bytedance nasdaq private 23 December 2025 2
Stock market update

ByteDance plans $23bn AI spending push for 2026, boosts AI capex amid chip uncertainty

  • Heavy AI capex from Chinese tech firms underscores sustained global demand for compute, supporting long-term semiconductor investment while highlighting growing geopolitical fragmentation in chip supply chains.
Eamonn Sheridan
23/12/2025 | 01:42 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/12/2025 | 01:42 GMT
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News
This chart shows the China defense stock index rising on the US arms sales to Taiwan
News

US approves $10bn-plus arms sales to Taiwan, China defence stocks index hits 2 mth high

  • The arms package lifted China defence shares and reinforces geopolitical risk premiums across Asia, though broader markets remain relatively insulated for now.
Eamonn Sheridan
18/12/2025 | 03:15 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
18/12/2025 | 03:15 GMT
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News
EUV machine
News

China won't need ASML's chip-building machines for long

  • Researchers completed a working EUV prototype
Adam Button
17/12/2025 | 14:29 GMT
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Adam Button
17/12/2025 | 14:29 GMT
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Commodities
aud iron ore china 17 December 2025 2
Commodities

China slowdown raises downside risks for AUD and Australian assets

  • A weaker China demand outlook raises downside risks for bulk commodities and mining equities, particularly iron ore, with price sensitivity likely to rise into 2026.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/12/2025 | 03:43 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/12/2025 | 03:43 GMT
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BOK Governor Shin said policy will remain cautious and flexible as Middle East oil shocks lift inflation and weigh on growth, highlighting rising uncertainty and financial stability risks in South Korea.

BOK Governor Shin said policy will remain cautious and flexible as Middle East oil shocks lift inflation and weigh on growth, highlighting rising uncertainty and financial stability risks in South Korea.
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