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Federal Reserve
News

The next US NFP report might be pivotal for the markets and lead to sizeable opportunities

  • The market is still pricing 46 bps of Fed easing by year-end despite an improvement in the US labour market data. This could lead to sizeable opportunities as the dovish bets get pared back.
Giuseppe Dellamotta
26/01/2026 | 14:32 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
26/01/2026 | 14:32 GMT
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News
Japan 30 year bond yield
News

The Japanese bond market has settled down after last week's blowout

  • A look at 30-year Japanese yields
Adam Button
26/01/2026 | 03:45 GMT
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Adam Button
26/01/2026 | 03:45 GMT
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News
risk
News

UBS warns funding flows, not selling, are key risk for US fiscal outlook

  • The analysis underscores longer-term upward pressure risks for US yields if foreign funding demand weakens, reinforcing sensitivity in rates and the dollar to fiscal policy, issuance dynamics and global capital flows.
Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 23:37 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 23:37 GMT
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Central Banks
Trump’s policies could weaken the dollar, fueling debt risks and capital flight to safer assets.
Central Banks

PBOC adviser publicly questions sustainability of US fiscal trajectory

  • Rising scrutiny of US fiscal sustainability could reinforce longer-term pressure on the dollar and Treasuries, particularly if global investors begin to reassess reserve allocations.
Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 04:29 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 04:29 GMT
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Stock market update
nikkei snap 5 day losing streak 22 January 2026 chart
Stock market update

Nikkei set to snap long losing streak as JGBs rally and tariff fears ease

  • A steadier JGB market reduces pressure on Japanese equities, but election-driven fiscal uncertainty keeps volatility elevated, with USD/JPY and domestic rates likely to remain the key cross-asset driver.
Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 02:47 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
22/01/2026 | 02:47 GMT
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News
Japan bond yen JPY
News

Japanese bond yields come off the boil for the time being

  • A bit of respite today after the massive selling from earlier this week
Justin Low
21/01/2026 | 06:28 GMT
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Justin Low
21/01/2026 | 06:28 GMT
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Stock market update
sell americat taco coming 21 January 2026 2
Stock market update

Risk-off Tuesday hit US assets, raising Trump Davos de-escalation probability (TACO, yum!)

  • If the White House pivots to a more conciliatory tone at Davos, volatility could fade quickly; if not, the mix of weaker equities, softer USD and elevated gold suggests markets will keep charging a higher risk premium for US policy uncertainty.
Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 03:38 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 03:38 GMT
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News
BOJ Ueda Hands
News

Japan opposition urges bond buybacks as JGB volatility intensifies

  • Calls for bond buybacks, slower BOJ tapering and possible FX intervention highlight rising political pressure to stabilise Japan’s markets amid ultra-long yield stress.
Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 02:04 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 02:04 GMT
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News
Japan nikkei down 21 January 2026
News

JGB sell-off jars global rates as election fiscal fears flare, but some respite today

  • If JGB volatility persists, higher global term premia and a shakier carry-trade backdrop could keep pressure on equities, lift hedging demand and support gold, even if Treasuries catch safe-haven bids on down-days.
Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 01:59 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
21/01/2026 | 01:59 GMT
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Stock market update
Forexlive | Black Eyed Ben Franklin on the One Hundred Dollar Bill
Stock market update

Guggenheim warns US asset returns to soften in 2026: US bonds, equities face lower returns

  • Heavier issuance and fading foreign demand could cap US asset returns, reinforcing relative value opportunities outside the US and supporting precious metals.
Eamonn Sheridan
20/01/2026 | 22:53 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
20/01/2026 | 22:53 GMT
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News
Trump vs Denmark Hamlet
News

Danish pension fund AkademikerPension to dump US Treasuries - report

  • The fund has a relatively small position in Treasuries but it signifies the risk
Adam Button
20/01/2026 | 14:09 GMT
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Adam Button
20/01/2026 | 14:09 GMT
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News
Japan bond yen JPY
News

Japan bond yields continue to surge higher on the week

  • The bond rout continues in the JGB market
Justin Low
20/01/2026 | 09:31 GMT
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Justin Low
20/01/2026 | 09:31 GMT
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News
gold trump green;land de escalation 20 January 2026 chart
News

Report Trump admits ‘bad information’ on Greenland troop moves. Opens de-escalation door?

  • Any easing in Greenland-related tensions may reduce near-term geopolitical risk premiums, but unresolved US–Europe disagreements keep tail risks elevated for defence, FX and rates markets.
Eamonn Sheridan
20/01/2026 | 00:17 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
20/01/2026 | 00:17 GMT
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Forex
Trump mad king
Forex

Deutsche Bank sees US dollar risks around the Greenland noise

  • Why the fight for Greenland could end up crushing the US Dollar
Adam Button
19/01/2026 | 19:13 GMT
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Adam Button
19/01/2026 | 19:13 GMT
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News
usdyen udpate jgb 19 January 2026 2
News

Japan election raises odds of sales tax cut, bond yields jump

  • Japan’s looming election is raising the likelihood of a temporary sales tax cut as politicians seek to ease living costs. Bond markets reacted sharply, with 10-year yields hitting their highest since 1999 amid fears of rising debt issuance.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/01/2026 | 01:24 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/01/2026 | 01:24 GMT
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