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Central Banks
usdyen intervention risk 160 19 February 2026
Central Banks

BOJ expected to reach 1% by mid-year as yen intervention risks rise near 160 USD/JPY

  • Rate expectations shifting toward mid-year tightening support Japanese yields and may limit sustained yen weakness. However, rising intervention expectations around 160 create asymmetric risks for USD/JPY traders.
Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 04:12 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
19/02/2026 | 04:12 GMT
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Central Banks
boj Bank of Japan 23 July 2025 2
Central Banks

BOJ now paying the price for not hiking rates in a timely manner, says ex-policymaker

  • Remarks by former BOJ executive director, Kenzo Yamamoto
Justin Low
18/02/2026 | 08:03 GMT
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Justin Low
18/02/2026 | 08:03 GMT
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Central Banks
Japan tokyo 30 January 2026 2
Central Banks

IMF urges Japan to keep raising rates, warns against sales tax cuts

  • IMF backing for further BOJ hikes reinforces gradual tightening expectations, but resistance to tax cuts highlights fiscal risk. JGB yields and yen sensitivity likely to persist.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/02/2026 | 23:39 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/02/2026 | 23:39 GMT
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Central Banks
usdyen yen adachi boj april rate hike 17 February 2026
Central Banks

BOJ likely to raise rates 25bp April, former board member says. Gradual move toward 1.25%

  • An April hike expectation may steady JGB yields and underpin the yen, while reducing odds of a surprise March move; attention will focus on wage settlements and the Tankan survey.
Eamonn Sheridan
17/02/2026 | 00:42 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/02/2026 | 00:42 GMT
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Central Banks
Japan bond yen JPY
Central Banks

BOJ governor Ueda says had regular information exchange with Japan prime minister Takaichi

  • Ueda comments after his meeting with Takaichi
Justin Low
16/02/2026 | 08:36 GMT
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Justin Low
16/02/2026 | 08:36 GMT
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Central Banks
Japan Takaichi
Central Banks

Japan PM and BOJ chief Ueda will meet today at 5pm Tokyo time

  • Japan PM Takaichi will meet BOJ Governor Ueda for the first time since her election win, as markets price an 80% chance of an April rate hike. The talks follow the yen’s rebound and December’s move to 0.75%.
Eamonn Sheridan
16/02/2026 | 02:42 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
16/02/2026 | 02:42 GMT
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Central Banks
usdyen update val poc 16 February 2026
Central Banks

Japan junior coalition leader backs food tax suspension, defends BOJ independence

  • Discussion of using foreign reserves to fund tax relief may raise fiscal concerns, while reaffirmed BOJ independence supports expectations of gradual further rate hikes amid yen sensitivity.
Eamonn Sheridan
16/02/2026 | 01:35 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
16/02/2026 | 01:35 GMT
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Central Banks
USDJPY hourly candles volume profile 16 February 2026
Central Banks

Japan Q4 GDP rises just 0.2% annualised, misses forecasts & keeps BoJ on cautious path

  • The softer-than-expected growth print may temper aggressive BoJ tightening expectations, though persistent inflation pressures and a stabilising economy keep gradual rate normalisation on track.
Eamonn Sheridan
16/02/2026 | 00:39 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
16/02/2026 | 00:39 GMT
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Central Banks
Newsquawk Week Ahead
Central Banks

Newsquawk Week Ahead: US PCE and GDP, FOMC Minutes, RBNZ, Flash PMIs, UK and Canada CPI

  • Next week highlights include US PCE and GDP, FOMC Minutes, RBA Minutes, RBNZ rate decision, Flash PMIs, UK, Canadian and Japanese Inflation data.
Newsquawk Analysis
14/02/2026 | 15:29 GMT
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Newsquawk Analysis
14/02/2026 | 15:29 GMT
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Central Banks
Yen bid on this 13 February 2026 chart tamura boj
Central Banks

BOJ’s Tamura says inflation sticky, sees scope to judge target met by spring

  • The remarks lean hawkish, supporting expectations of further rate normalisation. A “sticky inflation” narrative and neutral rate above 1% could underpin JGB yields and add sensitivity to yen moves, particularly if spring data confirms price persistence.
Eamonn Sheridan
13/02/2026 | 03:38 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
13/02/2026 | 03:38 GMT
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Central Banks
usdyen boj march hike unlikely 13 February 2026
Central Banks

Bank of Japan (BOJ) likely to avoid March rate hike, Japan PM adviser says

  • BOJ to likely hold in March, markets trim hike bets. Market impact: Traders may pare back near-term rate hike pricing, easing upward pressure on short-dated JGB yields and slowing recent yen strength.
Eamonn Sheridan
13/02/2026 | 01:09 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
13/02/2026 | 01:09 GMT
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Central Banks
Japan January 2026 ppi wholesale inflation 12 February 2026 graphs
Central Banks

Japan January wholesale inflation slows to 2.3% as import prices rise

  • Slower CGPI may ease immediate tightening pressure, but rising import prices reinforce the yen-inflation link. USD/JPY sensitivity remains high as markets gauge whether currency weakness will keep the BOJ leaning hawkish.
Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 00:47 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
12/02/2026 | 00:47 GMT
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Central Banks
yen boj policy divergence fed 11 February 2026
Central Banks

ING sees yen recovery as BOJ tightening contrasts with Fed cuts

  • A widening policy divergence narrative could cap USD/JPY rallies and encourage positioning for yen strength, particularly near previously sensitive intervention levels.
Eamonn Sheridan
11/02/2026 | 02:52 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
11/02/2026 | 02:52 GMT
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Central Banks
BOJ AI IL
Central Banks

Japan to submit BOJ board nominee to parliament as early as this month - report

  • Reuters reports, citing four government sources on the matter
Justin Low
10/02/2026 | 05:15 GMT
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Justin Low
10/02/2026 | 05:15 GMT
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Central Banks
usdyen election loss 09 February 2026
Central Banks

Japan steps up yen intervention warnings as officials signal readiness

  • Japan’s finance ministry escalated yen warnings over the weekend and into Monday, signalling readiness to intervene as officials stress coordination with the US and vigilance against disorderly FX moves.
Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 00:43 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
09/02/2026 | 00:43 GMT
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