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TD Securities expects narrow BoE rate cut, warns sterling to stay weak

  • TD’s call for a finely split BoE rate cut reinforces expectations of a cautious easing cycle. The view adds to bearish sentiment for sterling, with EUR/GBP seen extending gains and GBP/USD under renewed pressure.
Eamonn Sheridan
05/11/2025 | 22:48 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
05/11/2025 | 22:48 GMT
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Forex
erugbp forecast higher 2026 05 November 2025
Forex

MUFG lifts EUR/GBP targets to 0.90

  • MUFG expects the pound to stay under pressure as UK rate-cut odds rise. The bank forecasts EUR/GBP at 0.8900 by early 2026 and 0.9000 by mid-year, citing peak inflation, looming tax rises, and scope for lower front-end yields.
Eamonn Sheridan
05/11/2025 | 02:51 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
05/11/2025 | 02:51 GMT
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Central Banks
Bank of England rate 30 October 2025 2
Central Banks

MUFG sees Bank of England (BoE) holding this week, December rate cut still base case

  • MUFG’s outlook suggests limited sterling upside even if the BoE pauses this week. With rate-cut expectations anchored for December, traders may fade any pound strength and refocus on inflation, growth, and fiscal signals into year-end.
Eamonn Sheridan
04/11/2025 | 03:15 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
04/11/2025 | 03:15 GMT
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Central Banks
Bank of England rate 30 October 2025 2
Central Banks

Barclays expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates this week

  • Goldman Sachs and Barclays are now both expecting a 25bp rate cut to 3.75%
Eamonn Sheridan
02/11/2025 | 22:45 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
02/11/2025 | 22:45 GMT
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Central Banks
Newsquawk Week Ahead
Central Banks

Newsquawk Week Ahead: US ISM PMIs, ADP, Supreme Court Tariff Hearing, RBA, BoE, OPEC-8

  • Next week's macroeconomic highlights include US ISM Manufacturing and Service PMI surveys, as well as the US ADP employment report. In Canada, the October jobs report will be eyed. The Supreme Court Tariff hearing will also be key, as will rate decisions from the RBA and BoE. Energy traders will be looking towards the OPEC-8 meeting over the weekend. Elsewhere, the US refinancing estimates and quarterly refunding is due, while in France, the French Revenue Budget vote takes focus.
Newsquawk Analysis
02/11/2025 | 01:45 GMT
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Newsquawk Analysis
02/11/2025 | 01:45 GMT
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Central Banks
Bank of England rate 30 October 2025 2
Central Banks

Goldman Sachs sees BoE cutting rates in November: weak UK data, contractionary Budget

  • Goldman Sachs now sees the Bank of England cutting rates in November due to weaker UK economic data and a contractionary budget. It expects a series of further cuts, taking the Bank Rate to about 3 per cent by mid-2026.
Eamonn Sheridan
29/10/2025 | 22:48 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/10/2025 | 22:48 GMT
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Central Banks
Goldman Sachs sized 22 July 2025 2
Central Banks

Goldman Sachs expects a 25bp rate cut from the Bank of England in November

  • Goldman Sachs prior forecast was for no rate cut
Eamonn Sheridan
29/10/2025 | 03:28 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
29/10/2025 | 03:28 GMT
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Central Banks
eurgbp food price disinflatiopn 29 October 2025
Central Banks

The Tuesday UK inflation data still reverberating through markets - BoE rate cut prospects

  • The BRC data doesn't often get noticed, it did yesterday
Eamonn Sheridan
28/10/2025 | 20:37 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
28/10/2025 | 20:37 GMT
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Central Banks
scissors cut snip 27 August 2025 2
Central Banks

Sterling vulnerable if BOE cuts rates in December, MUFG says

  • MUFG Bank says the pound may fall if the Bank of England cuts rates in December, as markets are not fully priced for such a move. The bank said a cut looks more likely if inflation data continue to show signs of cooling.
Eamonn Sheridan
27/10/2025 | 22:51 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
27/10/2025 | 22:51 GMT
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Central Banks
scissors cut snip 27 August 2025 2
Central Banks

Aberdeen says December BoE rate cut more likely after inflation surprise

  • Aberdeen says an unexpected stall in UK inflation, supported by moderating wage growth, has made a December rate cut by the Bank of England more likely.
Eamonn Sheridan
23/10/2025 | 22:56 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
23/10/2025 | 22:56 GMT
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Central Banks
bank of england
Central Banks

BoE's Dhingra: Expect US tariffs to put downward pressure on growth and prices

  • Comments from the BoE policymaker, Swati Dhingra
Giuseppe Dellamotta
23/10/2025 | 10:22 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
23/10/2025 | 10:22 GMT
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Central Banks
bank of england
Central Banks

Traders increase BoE rate cut bets with the December meeting now seen as live

  • The soft UK CPI report triggered a dovish repricing in interest rate expectations for the BoE
Giuseppe Dellamotta
22/10/2025 | 06:59 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
22/10/2025 | 06:59 GMT
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Central Banks
Newsquawk Week Ahead
Central Banks

Newsquawk Week Ahead: US, UK, Japan and Canada CPI, Flash Global PMIs, Japan PM Vote

  • Next week highlights include inflation data from the US, UK, Japan and Canada. Flash Global PMI data, the Japanese PM Vote and China Activity Data.
Newsquawk Analysis
19/10/2025 | 11:05 GMT
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Newsquawk Analysis
19/10/2025 | 11:05 GMT
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Central Banks
bank of england
Central Banks

BOE Greene: Core and services inflation are going sideways

  • BOEs Greene speaking
Greg Michalowski
17/10/2025 | 16:17 GMT
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Greg Michalowski
17/10/2025 | 16:17 GMT
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Central Banks
Hew Pill
Central Banks

BoE's Pill: A more cautious withdrawal of monetary policy restriction may be appropriate

  • Comments from the BoE policymaker, Huw Pill
Giuseppe Dellamotta
17/10/2025 | 09:39 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
17/10/2025 | 09:39 GMT
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