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AUDUSD pulls back into a key resistance: RBA and US labour market data in focus

  • AUDUSD extended the drop last week following a slate of strong US data. The focus turns to the RBA policy announcement and the US labour market data in coming days.
Giuseppe Dellamotta
29/09/2025 | 11:28 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
29/09/2025 | 11:28 GMT
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Forex
S&P 500 Analysis for Today before NFP
Forex

Market Outlook for the week of 29th September - 3rd October

  • Highlights of the week include RBA monetary policy announcement and U.S. labor market data
Gina Constantin
29/09/2025 | 09:00 GMT
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Gina Constantin
29/09/2025 | 09:00 GMT
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Central Banks
Reserve Bank of Australia building rba aud 22 July 2025 2
Central Banks

ICYMI - NAB pushes back Reserve Bank of Australia cut call as CPI surprises higher

  • NAB now expects the RBA to hold rates at 3.6% until May, 2026, citing hotter-than-expected CPI data this week.
Eamonn Sheridan
25/09/2025 | 22:27 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
25/09/2025 | 22:27 GMT
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Forex
TradeCompass: Australian Dollar futures analysis for today
Forex

Australian dollar gives back the CPI gain

  • AUD/USD now below pre-CPI levels
Adam Button
24/09/2025 | 13:31 GMT
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Adam Button
24/09/2025 | 13:31 GMT
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Central Banks
rba Reserve Bank of Australia Australia Australian dollar aud 2
Central Banks

Australian consumer prices rose in August at fastest annual pace in a year - RBA won't cut

  • Reserve Bank of Australia meet next week, they'll hold the cash rate steady
Eamonn Sheridan
24/09/2025 | 02:27 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
24/09/2025 | 02:27 GMT
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Central Banks
aud rba inflation 24 September 2025 2
Central Banks

Australian dollar jumped after the hot CPI data that rules out an RBA rate cut next week

  • Headline inflation hit 3%, the top end of the RBA target band
Eamonn Sheridan
24/09/2025 | 01:48 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
24/09/2025 | 01:48 GMT
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News
EURUSD
News

Australian monthly CPI (August 2025) +3% (expected 2.9%, prior 2.8%)

  • The monthly CPI data from Australia does not show all components of the CPI, that'll have to wait for the quarterly data release (late in October).
Eamonn Sheridan
24/09/2025 | 01:30 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
24/09/2025 | 01:30 GMT
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Technical Analysis
AUDUSD technicals
Technical Analysis

AUDUSD Technicals: AUDUSD sellers "stay in play" below the 100 hour MA.

  • Can the AUDUSD sellers make a run for it with another break below a swing area between 0.6888 and 0.6898?
Greg Michalowski
23/09/2025 | 15:11 GMT
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Greg Michalowski
23/09/2025 | 15:11 GMT
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News
PMI
News

All three Australian preliminary PMIs declined in September.

  • Flash PMIs for September 2025 from Australia.
Eamonn Sheridan
22/09/2025 | 23:05 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
22/09/2025 | 23:05 GMT
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Forex
US INFLATION MONEY
Forex

Market Outlook for the week of 22nd-26th September

  • Highlights of the week include inflation data from Australia and Japan and U.S. PCE
Gina Constantin
22/09/2025 | 07:39 GMT
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Gina Constantin
22/09/2025 | 07:39 GMT
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Central Banks
scissors cut snip 27 August 2025 2
Central Banks

NAB expects the RBA will cut the cash rate in November and again in February

  • Reserve Bank of Australia forecast
Eamonn Sheridan
18/09/2025 | 22:53 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
18/09/2025 | 22:53 GMT
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Forex
AUDUSD
Forex

AUDUSD recovers early losses with the focus turning back to US data

  • The AUDUSD pair rejected a key trendline following the FOMC decision and extended the losses on a slightly weaker Australian jobs report. The attention now turns back to the US data.
Giuseppe Dellamotta
18/09/2025 | 09:55 GMT
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Giuseppe Dellamotta
18/09/2025 | 09:55 GMT
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Forex
audusd Australia job losses 18 September 2025 2
Forex

AUD/USD has been marked down following the disappointing job loss numbers in August

  • Employment Change -5.4K, a poor result (expected 22.0K, prior 24.5K)
Eamonn Sheridan
18/09/2025 | 01:34 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
18/09/2025 | 01:34 GMT
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News
Reserve Bank of Australia building rba aud 22 July 2025 2
News

Australia August 2025 jobless rate 4.2% (vs. 4.2% expected)

  • Employment report from Australia for August 2025
Eamonn Sheridan
18/09/2025 | 01:30 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
18/09/2025 | 01:30 GMT
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News
AUDUSD
News

Preview: Australia’s jobs market cooling as unemployment set to rise modestly (muted AUD)

  • The Australian August jobs report is due at 11.30am Sydney time (0130 GMT, 2130 US Eastern time)
Eamonn Sheridan
17/09/2025 | 21:01 GMT
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Eamonn Sheridan
17/09/2025 | 21:01 GMT
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