There are just a couple of expiries to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below.
They are for EUR/USD at the 1.1500 and 1.1525 levels. They don't tie to any technical significance but could play some role in terms of limiting price action in the session ahead, depending on the market mood.
For now, risk optimism is starting to fade once again as we near the deadline of US president Trump's ultimatum towards Iran. He threatened that all hell will break loose if Iran fails to agree to ceasefire terms and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. And for now, Tehran remains defiant in holding their ground and not ceding any position.
So, the clock continues to tick away.
Circling back to the expiries, the market mood might keep the dollar slightly underpinned especially if broader markets react more nervously and anxiously in the day ahead. The expiries could help to hold downside price action a little, with more of a focus on the 1.1500 mark in my view. We've ventured lower towards the figure level since Thursday last week but didn't reach a point of testing it. So, the expiries might offer some added defensive layer in European morning trade.
But again, it all hinges on risk sentiment first and foremost. And perhaps more importantly, if we do hear any major headlines crossing that will drive market optimism/pessimism on the US-Iran conflict. That is still the key focus as we get into the new week.
For more information on how to use this data, you may refer to this post here.
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