tradeCompass Summary Map for today's bitcoin day traders
Bullish above: $94,250 (price in bitcoin futures, BTC1!)
Bearish below: $93,100
Primary bias right now: Cautious bearish while under $93,100
Key idea:
Price is sitting right on the bearish threshold. If Bitcoin futures break back below $93,100 and stay there, tradeCompass favors short setups. If price instead pushes above $94,250 and holds, the upside scenario from yesterday comes back into play.
Bitcoin Market Context & Directional Bias
Bitcoin has had an impressive run this week, climbing about 5.6% and trading around $93,115 at the time of this analysis. That places price almost exactly at today's tradeCompass bearish threshold.
Yesterday, my colleague Greg highlighted the upside recovery in Bitcoin from around $90,200, triggered by a strong rebound after a sharp near 5% drop. In his analysis he noted that, as long as price stayed above key short term moving averages, traders could focus on upside targets around the $93,091 swing area and the $94,229 retracement level.
Today, price is trading right inside that target zone. From a tradeCompass perspective, that often means:
The easy part of the long move has probably already happened.
This is a decision area, where price either accepts higher levels and extends up, or fails and rotates back down.
Because the bearish threshold is right at current price, tradeCompass leans short biased as soon as we see a sustained move back below $93,100. Until that happens, aggressive traders may simply stalk price here and wait for confirmation, rather than jumping in early.
Key Levels & Partial Profit Targets for Bitcoin Futures Today
Bearish scenario - active while price stays below $93,100
Suggested short activation zone:
Trigger shorts on a confirmed break below $93,100
Ideal entry band for shorts: $92,900 to $93,100, depending on your confirmation rules
Possible partial profit levels on the downside:
$92,250
First intraday reaction area. Think of this as a "risk reduction" level - a logical place to take partial profits after the initial break, especially if it lines up with intraday VWAP or a nearby high volume node.
$91,400
Deeper rotation target, corresponding to a likely value area zone from recent sessions. If price reaches this level with no strong buying response, it signals that sellers still control the auction and shorts can keep a runner.
$90,200
Greg's recent reference area and the prior recovery starting point. If price revisits this zone, it will be a critical test of buyer strength. For short traders, it is a logical place to take substantial profits, because this is where stronger dip buyers may step in again.
Optional extended target for more patient swing traders:
$89,500
This would be reserved for runners only. It aligns with a plausible deeper mean reversion zone and potential high volume support area from earlier in the move.
As always with tradeCompass:
You do not have to aim for all targets.
Think in layers - secure gains at early levels and let the remainder position tell you whether the move is strong enough to continue.
How this fits with Greg's bullish map
Greg's upside focus talked about a move back above short term moving averages and the targets around $93,091 and $94,229.
Today, tradeCompass sees current price overlapping those upside targets, which often means we are entering a distribution or decision zone, not a fresh breakout stage.
If price pushes above $94,250 and holds, the bullish roadmap reactivates and traders can look again toward higher levels based on Greg's analysis and any updated resistance zones.
If price rejects this area and trades below $93,100, the priority shifts from "buy the recovery" to "fade the exhaustion" and aim for the downside targets above.
Short Educational Note for Traders - Recognizing sustained breaks
A key part of tradeCompass is not just drawing levels, but judging whether a move beyond a level is real or just a quick spike. For example:
A single candle wick below $93,100 that snaps back above quickly is not a solid break.
Several candles closing below the level, or a clean impulse move that holds under it with lower highs, carries more weight.
Some traders use fixed rules like "two consecutive closes below the level" or "wait 15 minutes after the break with no return above" to filter out noise.
Your own confirmation method can differ, but it is helpful to systematize it. On investingLive we have an education piece specifically on recognizing a sustained move beyond a key level, which you can reference from within this article.
Trade Management Reminders (tradeCompass style)
One trade per direction per tradeCompass map:
If the short scenario plays out and hits its main targets, avoid chasing further shorts from the same map. Wait for a new compass update.Stop loss logic:
For shorts activated below $93,100, set your stop above the activation band, with a small buffer, not directly on the line.
Never place your stop beyond the opposite threshold. In this case, if $94,250 is your bullish invalidation, you should already be out before that level breaks.
Partial profits and runners:
Take partial profits at the logical levels listed above to reduce risk and emotional pressure.
After TP2 is reached, move the stop to entry (breakeven) to protect the trade and let the runner attempt to capture a deeper move.
Flexible confirmation:
Conservative traders can require stronger confirmation (multiple closes, momentum checks, or order flow signs).
More aggressive traders may enter earlier but should use tighter stops and be quicker to scratch if price snaps back above $93,100.
Disclaimer
This tradeCompass Bitcoin futures map is decision support only. It is not investment advice and does not take into account your personal financial situation, risk tolerance, or trading style. Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset and futures carry leverage, which can amplify both profits and losses. Always size positions responsibly, be prepared for slippage, and remember that even well planned setups can fail. Trade at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional if you are uncertain.
